I just checked the date. Yep, it's Friday the 13th. In addition to this bad omen, I'm getting an unsettling vibe when I think about October 13th in general. It's kinda creepy.
Or maybe it's just a vibe about October in general. We have a history.
Skirling winds. Plummeting temperatures. Halloween. Ghosts.
...
I wrote the above earlier this morning. Now it's afternoon, and I'm starting to feel sick. Uh-oh.
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I don't know if I'd call 25 points over 7 weeks a "large margin"
Perhaps not -- I'll call it blogger's (big whining baby's) prerogative to exaggerate -- though the fact remains: I have the most points in the league and I'm below .500, a game out of a playoff spot, which reminds me of 2002, when I started off 5-5 despite averaging an incredible 98.8 ppg. So it could be worse. Anyway, since I won the league last year with a healthy dose of good fortune (what a fucking anomaly that was, I mean seriously: holy fucking shit!), I'm trying to use my indoor whining voice this year.
As I have the best two RB, two top 11 WR, and the best TE -- by overall pts; I'm too lazy to calculate ppg -- I'm confident I can right this ship so long as I can find a steady 18-20 ppg performer at QB. I just have to avoid admittedly idiotic managerial decisions, like starting Matt Leinart -- or any Packers.
Though I'll add this: In the two leagues I care about, I have six losses. My average margin of defeat? 3.5 ppg. Ouch. Worse yet, consider that most of my defeats have come on MNF:
Week 2: The Krips's Fred Taylor scores 12.10 points to beat me by 3.15.
In my other league (AMTELCO, 5-2, 2nd in total points and head-to-head), I enter MNF with a 14.31 point lead. I have a kicker, Jeff Reed; my opponent has the Jacksonville defense. Jacksonville shuts out Pittsburgh; I lose by 1.69 points. I remember sleeping through this game. If I had watched, I would have certainly broken at least one remote control.
Week 4: I have Westbrook on MNF, down by 5.45 points heading in. In other words: certain victory. I find out just prior to game time that Andy Reid has decided not to play Westbrook due to injury. Note: Westbrook has appeared on the injury report every week this year. This is the only week he did not start -- when it was too late for me to pick up a replacement (which would have been his backup, Buckhalter, who would have led me to victory). Westbrook has the second most points of all runningbacks.
Week 6: I'm down 24.15 heading into MNF with Bernard Berrian and Anquan Boldin to play. In a dramatic Bears comeback, I end up losing by 1.45 points. Bears defensive touchdowns usurp the two possessions likely to result in the one catch of Berrian I needed to win me the game.
Week 7: I enter MNF with a 13.2 lead. My opponent has T.0. I end up losing by 2.6 points.
OKAY, so pretty much every single loss in fantasy football this year has come down to MNF. That's a bummer, man. C'est la vie.
No, fuck that shit. That's loser talk. If I can't will my fantasy football players to victory on MNF I should either kill myself or resign.
P.S. Tune in this Monday to watch Ben Watson purloin victory from my very grasp!
p.s. To get at your original point -- though I've admitted to somewhat exaggerating -- here is a stat to enhance my side of the argument: I am averaging about 9ppg (~65 total points) more than the average of the four teams who are currently ahead of me in the standings. This is not insignificant.
I am 3-4 (.429). Those four teams are a combined 21-7 (.750).
Also, if you remove the best and worst weeks to remove abberations and reward consistency (I admit I'm not a mathematician, this is probably stupid, and that removing 2/7th of the sample is undoubtedly idiotic; oh well) I am then (~390-358) ~42 points ahead of the 2nd place team, which, over five weeks, is about 8ppg.
That I would claim to be a large margin.
So there.
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